Salient to Investors: Christine Lagarde at the IMF said: The Fed should delay any rise in interest rates until 2016 and wait for more tangible signs of wage or price inflation. Pockets of vulnerability in the US economy could cause serious trouble for the wider economy. The IMF predicts US growth of 2.5%
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: The OECD said: The global economy’s predicted growth is lowered to 3.1% in 2015 and 3.8% in 2016 due to an unexpectedly weak Q1 and investment yet to take off. The global economy rates a B-minus. Large businesses have been unwilling to invest as vigorously as in previous cyclical
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: The OECD said: Widening inequality creates a drag on economic growth that can be counteracted by tax policies to benefit the less well-off. Changes in wages and salaries have been the biggest direct driver of inequality. The earnings of the 10% best-paid workers have risen relative to the
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Yields on US Treasuries, German bunds and Japanese government bonds are 1 standard deviation above their historical norm. Yields on Treasuries and bunds are more than 40 basis points below what would be 2 standard deviations from their means, and Japanese bonds are 5 basis points away.
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: OECD predicts faster global economic growth, led by the US and Japan: growth in member countries will accelerate to 2.3 percent in 2014 from 1.2 percent in 2013, China, will grow 8.4 percent in 2014 after growth of 7.8 percent in 2013. Neil Mackinnon at VTB Capital
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Latin America is disappointing investors, economists and businesses with slower-than-forecast growth as waning commodity prices and strong currencies hit nations that failed to diversify and become more competitive. Economists cut Brazil’s 2013 outlook for the second time in 7 days, forecasting the worst 3-year period in a decade.
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Pier Carlo Padoan at OECD said: Global economic growth will accelerate at multiple speeds in 2014 with both the US and Japan continuing to outpace the euro area. Rising unemployment is the most pressing challenge and euro countries with trade surpluses such as Germany need to allow wages to rise Reform fatigue is mounting
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: The OECD said: The gap between rich and poor widened more in the 3 years to 2010 than in the previous 12 years. The richest 10% of society in the 33 OECD countries received 9.5 times that of the poorest in terms of income, versus 9 times in 2007.
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Andrea Guzzi at IST Investmentstiftung fuer Personalvorsorge said the global economy is recovering and healing, thanks to the US and the emerging markets – more people are becoming wealthy, less and less are poor. Guzzi said many countries have oversized banking sectors. Gala Prada at Fiatc Mutua de Seguros y Reaseguros expects
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: The OECD said: Failure to prevent the fiscal cliff would increase the risk of a global recession. The greatest threats to the world economy lie in the euro area, whose debt crisis urgently need fixing. Reducing the large federal budget deficit is necessary to restore fiscal sustainability, but should be done gradually
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