Salient to Investors: Columbia Management Investment Advisers says the term premium on Treasuries reached 0.46 percent this month, versus the 0.40 percent average in the decade before the 2007 financial crisis minus 0.5 percent as recently as May. Bond bulls say the highest inflation-adjusted yields since March 2011, the slowest pace of increases
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Fed tapering, China’s credit squeeze, and Japan’s reflation ultimately prime the three biggest economies for less volatile and longer-lasting expansions, but near-term, emerging markets, commodity producers, and economies that need cheap cash or weaker currencies, including the euro area, could suffer. Stephen Jen at SLJ Macro Partners said that
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: TrimTabs Investment Research and the Money Fund Report report bond funds saw $61.7 billion of withdrawals last week. Market bears say yields barely exceed inflation, leaving little relative value in bonds as the global economy improves. Pimco, BlackRock, and DoubleLine Capital say the worst is over because the
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: George Soros and BlackRock cut stakes in gold ETFs in Q1, signaling waning investment demand. The World Gold Council said gold ETP demand dropped 13 percent in Q1 from a year earlier and outweighed a surge in purchases of coins, bars and jewelry in China and India. Frank McGhee at Integrated Brokerage
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Larry Fink at BlackRock says investors should be heavily invested in equities due to its fair value at a 15.5 P/E ratio for the S&P 500 and good earnings season. Jeffrey Gundlach at DoubleLine said in mid-April that he expects a catastrophic failure because the developed world
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Laurence D. Fink at BlackRock said we have not seen any large major change in attitude in bonds are not seeing the same investor appetite for long-dated bonds, which will persist for some time. Fink sees no evidence of a large-scale rotation into stocks from bonds as global and high-yield
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Peter Hayes at BlackRock said: Rising demand for munis is an opportunity to scale back on lower-rated municipal debt as a strengthening economy raises the prospect that interest rates will rise in 2013. When interest rates rise, investors will move back to higher-rated securities and away from speculative-grade munis. Buy munis
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Bill Gross at Pimco doubled his forecast for growth in US GDP to 3 percent for 2013 partly because of housing, and a nominal growth rate of 5 percent. Gross said 200,000 jobs is consistent with real GDP growth of 3 percent in 2013 and won’t prompt the Fed
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Neil Jones at Mizuho Corporate Bank said people are looking to buy the dollar against the most vulnerable currencies, currently the pound and yen. Jones cited much uncertainty about the U.K. economic outlook. Scott Thiel at BlackRock said it sold the Pound after the Bank of England left
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Tim Hartzell at Sequent Asset Mgmt said the Fed’s comments took a little excess out of the stock market as equities had gotten ahead of themselves in the belief there’s always going to be $85 billion come into the market from the Fed. 72 percent of the 427
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