Salient to Investors: William Pesek writes: If there were ever proof that ex-PM Julia Gillard was not defeated for her performance, this election campaign is it – Abbott and PM Kevin Rudd have offered nothing new or insightful to voters, and neither have come up with a plan to redefine Australia’s economy
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Sudakshina Unnikrishnan and Jian Chang at Barclays say should China’s growth dip to 3 percent in the next 3 years, copper would fall more than 60 percent, zinc by up to 50 percent, and oil to $70 a barrel. They cite risks of slowing industrial production and of financial stress due to debt of
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Adam Bowe at Pimco said: Australian bonds are attractive after their worst run of losses since 1994 because the central bank will need to lower interest rates as mining investment drops. Pimco prefers to hold Aussie government bonds and high-quality spread assets like swap in the belief that interest
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Alexander Friedman at UBS says: What Fed has done is not unexpected and the market reacted because it was ahead of itself. All the Fed was saying was that the US is doing OK, that the data is trending as it should, and that it has confidence
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: William Pesek writes: No country is more vulnerable to the dreaded slowdown in China than resource-rich Australia, as the mining boom that fueled nearly all of Australia’s recent growth is nearing a cliff of economic risk. Exporting natural resources led to the neglect and atrophying of other critical
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Shane Oliver at AMP Capital Investors said he was not worried until this week because things are much different in China than expected and potentially pose risks for global growth. Oliver said we relied on the Fed and China so much over the last few years that
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Tomoya Masanao at Pimco said: Investors should be wary of high-yield borrowers as slowing growth in Asia threatens profitability. China will average 6 percent to 7.5 percent annual growth during the next 5 years versus 9 percent annual for the past 5. Companies in Asia outside Japan almost tripled junk bond sales
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Laurentia Amica Darmawan at PT First State Investments Indonesia said the currency issue is the biggest risk factor in the foreseeable future for Asian companies, and will continue until we have clarity on how long global monetary easing will last. Credit Suisse lowered Turkish banks to neutral from
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Shane Brett at AllAboutAlpha writes: The long-term outlook for the US economy is broadly positive with housing stabilized, consumer confidence slowly returning, political instability solved by Obama’s decisive win, and as health spending increases under Obamacare. Cheap domestic energy will continue and the US will seriously expand
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Sydney is the most unaffordable housing market in the English-speaking world. Demographia report Australian homes cost 6.7 times the gross annual median household income in Q3 2011 versus 3.1 times in the US and 5 times in the UK. Apartment ownership is rising as more are being buyers priced out of the
READ MORE... →