Salient to Investors: The median economist expects: Britain to fall 0.1 percent in Q4 and grow 0.2 percent in Q1 2013; and the UK economy to fall 0.1 percent in 2012 and rise 1.1 percent in 2013. Germany to fall 0.1 percent in Q4 and rise 0.2 percent; and rise 0.3 percent in both
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Q3 earnings of 58 percent of 62 companies on the Bovespa index missed analysts’ estimates versus 62 percent that missed in Q2 and 60 percent that missed in Q1. 67 percent reported sales higher than expected – Rodolfo Amstalden at Empiricus Research said the divergence is in part due to increasing costs in a tight labor market. Analysts
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Owi Ruivivar at Goldman Sachs Asset Mgmt said: If surging demand continues for Asian bonds and distorts prices for a long period of time, the likelihood of asset bubbles increases because prices do not fully reflect economic fundamentals. Supply and demand have become the dominant drivers of bond valuations rather
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Victoria Mio at Robeco Hong Kong said China’s leadership change removes the biggest overhang for the nation’s equities as the new government is determined to carry out reforms. Mio said implications on the economy are neutral near term as China is expected to maintain the current monetary and fiscal policies. Barclays
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Stronger housing demand and hiring in the US and accelerating factory output and retail sales in China is providing international growth as Europe and Japan stagnate. Jim O’Neill at Goldman Sachs Asset Mgmt said improving China and the US is extremely good news. Tim Drayson at Legal & General Investment
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Pew Research Center and Washington Post survey said 51 percent of Americans expect the US to go over the fiscal cliff, 38 percent expect a deal. 53 percent would blame Republicans for going over the cliff versus 29 percent who would blame Obama, 10 percent who would blame both sides. Read the full article
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Real Capital Analytics said foreigners bought more UK properties worth over $9.5 million than residents for the first time in a decade, and bought 13.5 billion pounds of UK property through Oct. 12, versus 9.3 billion pounds of domestic purchases. Portfolio investments, including equities and debt, showed a 37.6 billion- pound net inflow
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Peter Orszag at Citigroup writes: A growing body of academic studies warns that economic growth in China might slow substantially in the decades to come. Past growth has been driven disproportionately by workers moving from farms to factories, but those economic gains are over – the Lewis turning
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: JPMorgan Chase said the drop in the yield on 10-yr Treasuries below 1.7 percent indicates investors expect GDP to fall 0.3 percent next year as the fiscal cliff takes effect. Terry Belton at JPMorgan Chase continues to believe that Congress avoids the fiscal cliff. Priya Misra at Bank of America Merrill Lynch
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Saumil Parikh at Pimco said equities will return an annualized 4 percent to 5.1 percent over the coming 5 to 10 years verus their historical rate of almost 10 percent as the economy grows at a slower pace due to more retirees than workers and productivity decline due to less
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