Salient to Investors: A Bloomberg poll of investors, analysts and traders showed: 40% see the euro-area economy as improving, more than 4 times the number in May 40% see the world economy as strengthening, the most since January 2011. 52% expect stocks to produce the best return over the next
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Stanley Druckenmiller said: The poverty rate for seniors over the last 35 years has dropped from 35% to 9%, while their wealth has dramatically increased The numbers of seniors is about to explode and there is no way we can pay for what we have promised them. The US
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Scotiabank and Bank of America said India, Brazil, Russia and Indonesia have intervened in foreign-exchange markets, and dollar sales mean liquidating Treasuries. Ali Jalai at Scotiabank said there is a lack of buyers in the Treasury market, while selling by central banks to back up their currencies exacerbates
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: The 90-day correlation between changes in the euro and a Citigroup index of bond and swaps risk has turned positive for the first time since November 2008, indicating the euro is gaining favor as investors’ perceptions of turmoil in financial markets rises. Hedge funds et al are
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: MacNeil Curry at Bank of America said any close for the Dollar Index above its pivot point of 82.41 would be a good sign that we have a base in place and a larger bull trend can resume. Curry said the diamond-top pattern in the euro says that its
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: William Pesek writes: Former George Soros advisor Takeshi Fujimaki said Abe delaying increasing Japan’s sales tax would worsen Japan’s debt profile, while Fed tapering would cause a fresh credit crunch that would slam Japan’s bond market. When Li Ka-Shing, Asia’s richest man, is turning to Europe as Hong Kong
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Takeshi Fujimaki said: A delay in increasing the sales tax and reduction of Fed stimulus could cause Japan’s government bond bubble to burst. Japan will not be able to avoid default and hyper-inflation with the tax increase, but that is no excuse not to go ahead with it. Japan’s fiscal
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: William Pesek writes: Asia sits on almost $7 trillion in currency reserves, much of it in dollars as its central banks engaged in a kind of financial arms race after a 1997 crisis. Asia now has more weapons against market unrest than it knows what to do with
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Vincent Reinhart at Morgan Stanley said investors are the little white lab rabbits in the central bank experiments. Gilles Moec at Deutsche Bank said the potential for the dialog between the central banks and the market to fail is significant. Nathan Sheets et al at Citigroup said the UK
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Adam Bowe at Pimco said: Australian bonds are attractive after their worst run of losses since 1994 because the central bank will need to lower interest rates as mining investment drops. Pimco prefers to hold Aussie government bonds and high-quality spread assets like swap in the belief that interest
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