GOLDMAN: The Economic Crisis Ends In 2013 – Business Insider 12-01-12

Salient to Investors: Jan Hatzius at Goldman Sachs said the private sector surpluses is the mirror image of public sector deficits. Hatzius says the economic crisis will end in 2013, followed by US growth over 3%. After 2013, the US economy will benefit significantly from a relevering private sector (lower savings) with the worst of the fiscal drag coming to

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb: The future will not be cool – Salon.com 12-01-12

Salient to Investors: Nassim Taleb writes:   (Excerpted from “Antifragile: Things That Gain From Disorder”) Imagining future technologies is unpredictable and won’t be the ones that make it. The futuristic projections made throughout the past 150 years by Jules Verne, H. G. Wells, George Orwell and other scientists and futurists are not tools

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Stock Inflows Beat Bonds First Time in 10 Weeks, Citigroup Says – Bloomberg 11-29-12

Salient to Investors: Markus Rosgen and Yue Hin Pong at Citigroup said EPFR Global reported stock funds this week had their second-largest weekly inflows in 2012 and more than the inflows into bond funds, while US funds reversed an outflow trend and Asia attracted the second-largest inflows this year. Pong said most economic data have positively

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Goldman Pushes Subprime ABX Index as Housing Rebounds: Mortgages – Bloomberg 11-29-12

Salient to Investors: Goldman Sachs said homebuilders have already priced in the housing recovery, so investors need to look beyond these stocks for the ripple effects of housing stabilization – like certain versions of the ABX and US domestic banks. Kyle Bass at Hayman Capital Mgmt said senior-ranked subprime debt offer

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Bond Investor Gundlach Buys Stocks, Sees ‘Kaboom’ Ahead – Bloomberg 11-29-12

Salient to Investors: Jeffrey Gundlach at DoubleLine Capital says: The first phase of the coming debacle was the 27-year buildup of corporate, personal and sovereign debt to 2008. The third phase will be deeply indebted countries and companies defaulting sometime after 2013. Buy gemstones, art and commercial real estate and other hard assets. Chinese

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U.S. Economy Grew at 2.7% Rate, More Than First Estimated – Bloomberg 11-29-12

Salient to Investors: Chris Rupkey at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ said the economy is growing moderately, and the disappointing pace of consumer spending is less worrisome as other sectors of the economy are doing better, like housing. The median economist expects consumer spending to be at a 1.9 percent pace in Q3, and GDP to

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World Economy in Best Shape for 18 Months, Poll Shows – Bloomberg 11-29-12

Salient to Investors: Andrea Guzzi at IST Investmentstiftung fuer Personalvorsorge said the global economy is recovering and healing, thanks to the US and the emerging markets – more people are becoming wealthy, less and less are poor. Guzzi said many countries have oversized banking sectors. Gala Prada at Fiatc Mutua de Seguros y Reaseguros expects

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