Salient to Investors: Jay Schwister at Baird Advisors said Pimco underestimated how big the policy response would be and what type of positive impact it would have on financial markets, despite the new normal they forecast is playing out. Saumil Parikh at Pimco said policy distortions cannot continue indefinitely, so 2013
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Joseph Tanious at JPMorgan Funds said the jobs report shows the labor market is healing very slowly, so not so good that the Fed might pull out of QE. Deutsche Bank said supply chain movements suggest iPhone and iPad production may be declining. Mohamed El-Erian at Pimco said 7.8 percent unemployment shows
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Obama and Congress are heading for an even bigger confrontation over raising the nation’s debt limit, yet US Treasury bond investors aren’t alarmed. Matthew Duch at Calvert Investments says the market is much more concerned about growth than if the US will be able to pay its bills. Zach
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Deepak Narula at Metacapital Mgmt said the Fed’s mission is to drive down the 30-year mortgage rate to let homeowners refinance. Narula uses mathematical models to calculate how long homeowners will make payments at their current interest rates before either refinancing or defaulting – models based on a homeowner’s
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: The MSCI All-Country World Index of equities increased 16.9 percent in 2012 including dividends, versus 0.1 percent for the S&P GSCI Total Return Index of 24 commodities, 0.5 percent for the US Dollar Index, and 5.73 percent for the Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Broad Market Index. James Dunigan at PNC Wealth
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Bill Gross at Pimco said: Stocks and bonds will return less than 5 percent in 2013 due to a sluggish economy as the effect of Fed stimulus diminishes Structural headwinds lower real GDP to below 2 percent in the US and other developed nations. Bernanke is not Rumpelstiltskin and can
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Economists expect the 10-yr Treasury yield to end 2013 at 2.17 percent. Bill Gross at Pimco expects Treasury 5-yr notes to yield 0.7 percent at the end of 2013 versus 0.72 percent today, and the dollar to decline and oil climb above $100 in 2013. Gross expects stocks
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: US government securities have returned 2 percent in 2012 versus 17 percent for the MSCI All-Country World Index including reinvested dividends. Hiroki Shimazu at SMBC Nikko Securities expects investors to shift money from the bond market to the stock market in 2013 as the economy becomes much stronger. Economists expect 10-yr yields to rise
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Bill Gross at Pimco has more than doubled holdings of municipal debt sold in New York to give his fund its biggest investment in local securities in 6 years. Joe Deane at Pimco said New York’s pension system is one of the nation’s healthiest, with 94 percent of the assets needed to
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: China increased its Treasuries holdings in October to a 5-month high. Liu Dongliang at China Merchants Bank said US treasuries are a good choice for China because the dollar is expected to appreciate and the credit risk is lower than for European and Japanese bonds. Read the full article at
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