Salient to Investors: Fareed Zakaria said: The IEA said Russia faces a perfect storm of collapsing oil prices, international sanctions and currency depreciation. The IMF predicts the Russian economy will contract by 3% in 2015. Putin does not respond to higher costs in a rational calculating manner. Military aid to
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Art speculators’ whims often transform art into a terrible investment. Even beautiful art can be a fundamentally fickle asset. Adam Lindemann cites more speculative buying than ever since the financial crisis, but says people avoid artists whose price goes down. In the contemporary art world there is a
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Leonid Bershidsky writes: The cease-fire deal is as close to a deal on Putin’s terms as decency allows and too contradictory to work long-term. However, even if the truce fails, it is clear there is a strong will to look for a lasting solution. Ukraine is unlikely to
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Sven Jari Stehn at Goldman Sachs said: The massive supply shock in half2 2014 accounted for most of the oil price decline, joined by slowing demand in December and January. Since the stock market is a good indicator of economic demand, when stocks move in tandem with oil
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Zanny Minton Beddoes at The Economist said: The economy’s fundamental drivers, particularly rapid technological change, means that the rewards disproportionately go to the top. The latest IMF research suggests that you get stronger and more lasting economic growth in societies that are more equal. The last time
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Fareed Zakaria said: ISIS’ strategy is to draw the US into a ground battle in Syria, and hope that a protracted war would sap US strength. David Fromkin wrote that terrorism cannot always be prevented but can always be defeated. India has 97 billionaires – third most in the
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Gary Cohn at Goldman Sachs predicts oil will decline to as low as $30. Astenbeck Capital Mgmt said shale oil will soon be needed to make up for global production declines, pushing US prices to as high as $65. Giovanni Staunovo at UBS says oil is yet to
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Fareed Zakaria said: Negative foreign policy is about preventing bad things from happening, confronting dangers and dealing with bad guys. Positive foreign policy is about building new relationships, expanding markets and opportunities, strengthening alliances and values. India will be the next global Goliath, though not as fast growing
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Fareed Zakaria said: Radical Islam is the default ideology of anger, discontent and violent opposition for a small number of alienated young Muslim men around the world. Only Muslims and particularly Arabs can cure this cancer. In the 12 years between 9/12/01 and 2013, only 42 Americans
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: The IMF said: The global economy will grow 3.5% in 2015 and 3.7% in 2016. The boost from the sharp fall in oil prices will be more than offset by negative factors, including weaker investment. The euro area recovery will continue at only 1.2% growth in 2015 and 1.4% in 2016.
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