Salient to Investors: Bloomberg reports 51 of 70 indicators have improved since January 2009 when Obama took office. A three month moving average of the Chicago Federal Reserve Bank’s National Activity Index shows the economy growing below its historical trend for five consecutive months and nine of the past 12. Bloomberg survey
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Joachim Fels at Morgan Stanley said: It won’t take much to tip the world into a global recession Central banks in Europe, China, U.K. and Japan will further ease, thereby supporting asset prices, preventing deflation, helping avert sovereign defaults and maintaining economic growth. Central banks on their own cannot bring a sustainable
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Bellwethers FedEx and Intel expect lower quarterly profits because of weakness in worldwide demand. Wall Street expects quarterly profits at large American companies to decline for the first time since 2009. Ethan Harris at Bank of America Merrill Lynch said a lot of the profit gain over the past years came from a
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: The yield gap between the 10-yr and 30-yr Treasuries is at the highest in a year. Brian Edmonds at Cantor Fitzgerald said Treasuries are worried about inflation on the heels of open-ended stimulus. Sean Murphy at Societe Generale said the Fed leaving its purchases open-ended and extending its guidance means a steeper yield curve. QE3 is
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Contrarian fund manager Bill Smead is: Bullish on the U.S. but bearish on companies exposed to China. Looks for strong balance sheets, industries with high barriers to entry, long histories of profits and dividends, p/e ratios below their 10-year average, strong insider ownership, and shareholder friendliness with regard to
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Millan Mulraine at TD Securities said retail sales are not as strong as the headline number suggests as the price of gas will divert from discretionary spending. Jenny Lin at Ford said economic fundamentals remain modest but stable. Read the full article at http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-09-14/retail-sales-in-u-s-increased-0-9-in-august-on-auto-demand.html
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: In a Bloomberg poll of 847 investors, analysts and traders: A quarter expect Chinese markets to be among the worst performers over the next year. 46 percent, the highest, say U.S markets offer among the best returns over the next year. 18 percent expect commodities to offer the highest
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Michael Feroli at JPMorgan Chase said the jobs report is a setback for the labor market and the economy and validates Bernanke’s concern. Bill Gross said the Fed will likely ease further through “open-ended” purchases of Treasuries and mortgages and extend its pledge to keep interest rates low
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: S&P 500 Index at highest since 2008. The Dow at highest since December 2007. Dan Veru at Palisade Capital Management said we are peeling away the uncertainties little by little, and Draghi is serious about putting Europe on a positive path. David Pearl at Epoch Investment Partners said the U.S. data is moving positively and we’re
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Pimco’s Bill Gross said: Investors face an age of inflation, a headwind for both stocks and bonds. The cult of equity was dying, and long-term equity returns of 6.6 percent above inflation – the Siegel Constant – won’t be seen again. Institutional investors will find the highest returns in countries with faster growth
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