Salient to Investors: Ray Dalio at Bridgewater Associates said: 2013 will be a game changer for the economy as investors reallocate money – currently getting very bad returns – after risks including Europe’s sovereign debt crisis receded. Money will move into stocks and other assets, as well as into goods and services Central banks
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Kristin Forbes at MIT says: There is complacency over the risk that financial turmoil will spread beyond a single country, despite Europe’s struggles. Regulators are not doing enough to bolster preventative oversight, and we’ve seen softening of regulatory requirements. Requiring more capital may reduce the availability of
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Shane Brett at AllAboutAlpha writes: The long-term outlook for the US economy is broadly positive with housing stabilized, consumer confidence slowly returning, political instability solved by Obama’s decisive win, and as health spending increases under Obamacare. Cheap domestic energy will continue and the US will seriously expand
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: The IMF said: The world economy will grow 3.5 percent in 2013 and 4.1 percent in 2014, versus 3.2 percent in 2012. The euro region will shrink 0.2 percent in 2013, led by Spain and slowing growth in Germany, and grow 1 percent in 2014. The euro region poses a
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Exports from the US are set to pick up in 2013 as global growth strengthens. Gary Hufbauer at Peterson Institute for Intl Economics said competitive US industries include agriculture, medical supplies and aviation, and exports are a very high-paying sector of the US economy – jobs are more steady in export-oriented
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Bloomberg survey of global investors: 38 percent, the highest, expect the US to be in the top two markets over the next year, followed by China. 53% say equities offer the highest return in the next year, the most since the poll began in July 2009. Nearly
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Commodity speculators increased net-long positions last week by the most since Nov. 27. Barclays says investors increased commodity holdings by $20.4 billion in 2012 versus $14.6 billion in 2011. Suki Cooper et al at Barclays said palladium will be the best performing precious metal in 2013 as supplies tighten and demand
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Nicholas Pardini at Nomadic Capital Partners writes: US and European stocks are no longer the safest bets. Investors should expect subpar real returns from the US economy and positive long run returns from emerging markets. The biggest economic trend of the 21st century is the global convergence of
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Analysts expect dividend payouts in the Euro Stoxx 50 Index will fall by 3.3 percent in 2013, cutting the dividend yield to 4.3 percent from 6.3 percent in September 2011. John Bilton at Bank of America Merrill Lynch said within Europe, excess cash on balance sheets attracts investors –
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: The push for weaker currencies is being driven by a need to find new sources of economic growth as monetary and fiscal policies run out of room. Chris Turner at ING said yesterday will go down as the first day European policy makers fired a shot in the
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