Salient to Investors: Eric Zoldan at JHS Capital Advisors said that over the last two weeks, it is much clearer that while money is flowing out of all asset classes, it is not flowing out of the gold market, and that deteriorating global growth and demand is leading investors back to gold.
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Gold held in ETPs are the lowest in 5 years, gold’s 60-day volatility is near a 5-yr low, and open interest near the lowest since 2009. Brian Levitt at OppenheimerFunds sees no compelling reasons to be in gold, and said no inflationary pressures and a Fed that will
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Money managers increased net-long positions in gold for a fourth straight week through July 1 and assets in gold-backed global ETPs are rising at the fastest pace since November 2012. John Kinsey at Caldwell Securities expects further gold strength through 2014. Societe Generale predicts gold prices will
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Hedge funds’ net-long positions of 18 US-traded commodities rose 18 percent last week to the highest since September 2012. Investors tripled the net-long position in arabica coffee this month to the most bullish since May 2011 Barclays said weather is the big driver of commodities. EPFR Global
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Jeffrey Currie et al at Goldman Sachs said: They cut their 12-month commodity return forecast for the S&P GSCI Enhanced Commodity Index to 0.1 percent, maintained a neutral recommendation on raw materials, while precious metals and agricultural commodities may drop 8 percent and base metals will gain 6 percent.
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Peter Richardson and Hussein Allidina at Morgan Stanley said: Calls for the end of the commodities super-cycle is too simplistic as commodities are cyclical but the elasticity of supply and demand and length of the cycle vary significantly. Gold, silver and corn will outperform other raw materials next year
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: US farmers are having their most-profitable year ever because of record-high prices and insurance claims and despite the worst drought in a half century. The government predicts food inflation will accelerate next year, led by meat, dairy and baked goods. The UN said says the global cost of food imports
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Grain demand is robust and global stockpiles are tightening – USDA data shows world corn and soybean stockpiles as a percentage of consumption may drop to a 37-year low after dry weather in the US, South America and Europe. Hussein Allidina at Morgan Stanley said wheat prices will be supported
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Commodities beat equities, bonds and the dollar for a second consecutive month, the longest streak in more than a year, showing investors expect policy makers to succeed in stimulating growth. More than two-dozen nations cut market interest rates this year. China has slowed for six quarters. Bill O’Neill at Merrill
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Stockpiles of the biggest crops will decline for a third year on drought in three continents. U.S. crops are in the worst condition since 1988, heat waves are battering European crops and India’s monsoon rainfall is 20 percent below normal. Goldman Sachs, Macquarie Group and Credit Suisse say crops will
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