Slow-Growth Forecasts Are Wrong – BloombergView 07-16-14

Salient to Investors: Gary Shilling writes: The pessimistic economic theories are wrong. Weak growth will NOT last forever despite the Reinhart-Rogoff findings that the economy contracts at a 0.1 percent annual rate when government debt exceeds 90 percent of GDP. In the late 1970s and early 1980s many economists presumed

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Summers’s Stagnation Draws Doubt From Hatzius: Cutting Research – Bloomberg 12-12-13

Salient to Investors: David Mericle and Jan Hatzius at Goldman Sachs said: US economic weaknesses are more cyclical than secular. US growth will rebound in 2014 to as high as 3.5 percent versus the 2.25 percent average recovery rate so far. The slow rate of recovery is in line with

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Reinhart-Rogoff Rebuttal Says UMass Critics Politicized Debt – Bloomberg 04-26-13

Salient to Investors: Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff at Harvard acknowledged on April 17 that they had inadvertently left some data out of their calculations in “Growth in a Time of Debt”, but the error did not change their basic findings that countries with public debt in excess of 90 percent of GDP suffered measurably

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Summers Says Euro Crisis Approach Evokes U.S. in Vietnam War – Bloomberg 10-19-12

Salient to Investors: Larry Summers said Europe’s handling of the sovereign debt crisis evokes comparisons with US strategy during the Vietnam War which opted at each juncture to do the “minimum” to avoid an imminent catastrophe until it all collapsed. Summers said measures are not in place that will drive adequate economic growth,

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