Salient to Investors: Investors pulled the most money from US ETPs backed by raw materials since April. US corn and soybean crops are the biggest ever, global stockpiles of nickel are at an all-time high, the US is producing the most oil since 1986, while China is headed for its slowest
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: JC O’Hara at FBN Securities said the spread between the Russell and S&P 500 is widening again and worrying traders who want to see small caps participate.” Jonathan Krinsky at MKM Partners sees a good chance of US equities declining modestly into early October, citing deteriorating breadth and seasonal weakness.
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Hedge funds et al increased their net-long position in gold futures and options for the 4th consecutive week and the longest streak since October, while more than doubling bets on lower corn prices to a record net-short holding. Jeffrey Currie et al at Goldman Sachs said gold will decline
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Donald Selkin at National Securities said when the market gets into a trend, people want to follow it, and now we’re in a severe downtrend, so the psychology is terrible, and if any of the big holders that are still in the SPDR Gold Trust start are forced to
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: The most important factor in gold’s decline is that global inflation is falling and gold bugs are scrambling to exit their gold positions at any price. The JPMorgan Chase global consumer price index shows global inflation peaked at 4 percent in 2011 and has fallen steadily since. JPMorgan’s main
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Hedge funds et al reduced net-long positions in gold futures and options by 40 percent last week, the biggest drop since July 31, 2007. Commodity bets across 18 US raw materials tumbled to the lowest since December 2011. Global holdings of gold ETPs fell by the most since August 2011. James Dailey at
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: James Paulsen at Wells Capital Mgmt said people are finally deciding that this looks more like a sustainable recovery. 75 percent of 341 S&P 500 companies so far reporting have beaten estimates, 67 percent have beaten sales estimates. The S&P 500 P/E is at 15 versus the average of 16.6
READ MORE... →