Salient to Investors: Bespoke Investment Group study going back to 1928 shows the S&P 500 Index has returned an average 0.12 percent in September when up year-to-date through August – the index is up 12 percent so far in 2012 Bob Janjuah at Nomura Holdings predicts a major risk-off phase in the coming four months with
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Berkshire Hathaway has been drastically reducing his exposure to stocks that depend on consumer purchasing habits, including Johnson & Johnson and Intel. John Paulson in Q2 2012 dumped 14 million shares of JPMorgan Chase, his fund’s entire position in Family Dollar and Sara Lee. George Soros recently sold
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Longest weekly DJIA rally since October, led by tech. Mark Freeman at Westwood Holdings says the market gets disappointed when it falls into the trap of not getting what it expects from the central banks – the fundamentals are what matters and they are doing OK. James McDonald at Northern Trust
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Louis Navellier says: Bill Gross couldn’t be more wrong in predicting lower future equity returns and that equities cannot return more than U.S. GDP growth because the stock market is much more attuned to earnings than to U.S. GDP growth. Nearly half of the S&P 500’s revenues are generated globally versus 30 percent 10
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Jeffrey Hirsch at Stock Trader’s Almanac writes: Presidential elections have a profound impact on the economy and the stock market. The last two years of the 44 administrations since 1833 produced a total net market gain of 724 percent versus the 273.1 percent gain of the first two years. Presidents
READ MORE... →Predictions: Ibbetson Associates said that the next 20 years are not likely to yield a bond bonanza, favors stock investing – the S&P 500 stock index will return an average 7.6 percent, and long-term government bonds 4.1 percent. Joseph Davis at Vanguard expects future bond returns to be muted, and stock returns formidable. Davis
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Fund managers are increasing holdings in Spain, Italy and Germany. Bank of America said 45 percent of fund managers believe euro-zone shares are undervalued, the highest for any region since at least 2001. The Euro Stoxx 50 has dropped 30 percent from February 2011 to 0.93 times book value,
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Global investors are buying emerging-market debt and shares of well capitalized companies. Anne Richards at Aberdeen Asset Management likes balance sheet strength, says many European equities are high risk and U.S. Treasuries are overvalued. Richards says investors are underestimating the health of Asian issuers – Likes Indonesian sovereign debt, Latin American
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Emerging-market equity funds posted $8.7 billion of outflows in Q2, $262 million of outflows n the week ended June 27 – 2012 inflows dropped to $14 billion. Russia’s RTS Index lost 22 percent this quarter, Brazil’s Bovespa Index lost 18 percent, Shanghai Composite Index lost 2.3 percent. Chinese industrial companies’ profits
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Neil Shearing at Capital Economics says there is an improvement in the global risk appetite because fears of an immediate disruption in the euro zone have eased, and policy makers seem willing to move. EU is the largest export market for Brazil, Russia, India and China. EPFR Global reported that emerging
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