Salient to Investors: The S&P 500 is at 15 times reported earnings versus a low of 13 in 2012 and the 6-decade average of 16.4. T. Doug Dale at Security Ballew Wealth Mgmt said we’re extremely overbought, but the market can continue higher. James McDonald at Northern Trust said a pause is understandable given the strong
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Gaelle Blanchard at Societe Generale said there’s a run of risk aversion on concerns for growth. Martial Godet at BNP Paribas CIB said global earnings growth should be stronger than 2012 for emerging-market companies, particularly China, while commodity and oil prices are resilient, which helps Russia. The MSCI emerging-markets
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: George Soros said: The world still does not fully understand how financial markets work – the established theory has collapsed. Germany is out of tune with the rest of the world in handling the euro crisis. There is a risk of a credit bubble, the big, unresolved
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Nicholas Pardini at Nomadic Capital Partners writes: US and European stocks are no longer the safest bets. Investors should expect subpar real returns from the US economy and positive long run returns from emerging markets. The biggest economic trend of the 21st century is the global convergence of
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Jay Schwister at Baird Advisors said Pimco underestimated how big the policy response would be and what type of positive impact it would have on financial markets, despite the new normal they forecast is playing out. Saumil Parikh at Pimco said policy distortions cannot continue indefinitely, so 2013
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: The MSCI All-Country World Index of equities increased 16.9 percent in 2012 including dividends, versus 0.1 percent for the S&P GSCI Total Return Index of 24 commodities, 0.5 percent for the US Dollar Index, and 5.73 percent for the Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Broad Market Index. James Dunigan at PNC Wealth
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Global M & A in Q4 rose to the highest level since Q3 2008. Gene Sykes at Goldman Sachs said the pickup may extend into 2013 once the fiscal cliff and euro crises find a solution, with driven by continuing consolidation in natural resources, industrials, technology and financial services. Corporations sit
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Allan Conway at Schroder Investment Mgmt said: Emerging-market equities will return as much as 20 percent in 2013 as consumers drive growth, leaving them less reliant on the US and Europe. India and China will drive economic growth among developing nations in 2013 The increasing relative resilience of emerging
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Michael Hartnett at Bank of America Merrill Lynch said emerging-market stocks are poised to fall after weekly emerging-market fund inflows were the biggest in 10 months and triggered a Sell signal – that 4-week inflows totaling at least 1.5 percent of assets under management precede market declines. Hartnett said the most overbought are the most
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: David Rosenberg at Gluskin Sheff said: the economy is stuck in the mud and it will be a wageless recovery – the fiscal cliff would trigger a recession. Housing is bottoming out. and banking is on the mend and banks are more willing to lend money. likes gold-mining stocks and utilities, dividend-paying healthcare, utility and consumer-staples stocks. likes
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