Bullish Wagers Drop to Six-Month Low on U.S. Budget: Commodities – Bloomberg 12-24-12

Salient to Investors: Hedge funds et al lowered net-long positions in futures and options to the lowest since June 26, gold holdings dropped to the lowest since August, silver fell the most since July 24, and turned bearish on wheat for the first time in six months. Simon Ringrose at EPFR Global said money managers last week withdrew

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Goldman Bullish With Hedge Funds Amid Citi Warning: Commodities – Bloomberg 12-18-12

Salient to Investors: EPFR Global said the increase in inflows into commodity funds in 2012 was 92 percent higher than the increase in 2011. The S&P GSCI, of which energy comprises 70 percent, fell 0.9 percent in 2012, the MSCI All-Country World Index  rose 13 percent, the Dollar Index fell 0.9 percent, Treasuries returned 2.3 percent. Barclays

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Hedge Funds Reduce Bullish Bets by Most in a Month – Bloomberg 12-17-12

Salient to Investors: John Stephenson at First Asset Investment Mgmt said the Fed basically admitted that they don’t have what it takes to deal with the fiscal cliff, and it dimmed the idea that unlimited money printing will help commodities. Saumil Parikh at Pimco said global growth will slow to near stall speed in 2013

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Emerging Stocks to Earn 20% on Decoupling, Schroder Says – Bloomberg 12-14-12

Salient to Investors: Allan Conway at Schroder Investment Mgmt said: Emerging-market equities will return as much as 20 percent in 2013 as consumers drive growth, leaving them less reliant on the US and Europe. India and China will drive economic growth among developing nations in 2013 The increasing relative resilience of emerging

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Big Money Bets on a Housing Rebound – New York Times 12-08-12

Salient to Investors: Knowledgeable, cash-rich investors are leaping headlong into buying houses. Private-equity giants and hedge funds have spent billions of dollars on thousands of foreclosed single-family homes. Jade Rahmani at Keefe Bruyette & Woods said they have raised as much as $8 billion to invest The Blackstone Group has spent more than $1

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First Year of Losses Since ’08 Warns Morgan Stanley: Muni Credit – Bloomberg 12-05-12

Salient to Investors: Morgan Stanley and Municipal Market Advisors says investors should prepare for the first year of muni-bond losses since 2008 Bank of America Merrill Lynch says munis have earned 20 percent since the start of 2011, the best two-year run since 2001. The median analyst expects 10-yr T-bond yields to rise

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Stock Inflows Beat Bonds First Time in 10 Weeks, Citigroup Says – Bloomberg 11-29-12

Salient to Investors: Markus Rosgen and Yue Hin Pong at Citigroup said EPFR Global reported stock funds this week had their second-largest weekly inflows in 2012 and more than the inflows into bond funds, while US funds reversed an outflow trend and Asia attracted the second-largest inflows this year. Pong said most economic data have positively

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