Salient to Investors: Ronan Carr at Morgan Stanley said they are tactically overweight Russian stocks – upped to Buy from Sell – and that the situation is not deteriorating and that worst case outcomes, like additional sanctions, now appear less likely. JPMorgan Chase said Russian stocks are likely to extend
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Peter Hayes at Blackrock said nobody really expects rates to rally significantly from here and everybody is waiting for a pullback. Hayes said the muni market is overpriced and said sell into strength and wait for better opportunities. Munis have rallied in each of the first 9 months
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Dominic Rossi at Fidelity Worldwide Investment said: He is looking to buy markets at these levels, particularly US stocks, amid a sell-off exaggerated and exacerbated by poor positioning from hedge funds. Long-only investors had largely maintained their asset allocations, but there has been a massive contraction of
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Steen Jakobsen at Saxo Bank said we have reached the part of the cycle where bad news is bad news – for years we have been trading on monetary policy and now we have to deal with real economic problems. James Bullard at FRB St. Louis said the Fed
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Randy Bateman at Huntington Asset Advisors said investors have always relied on the Fed priming the pump, which ends this month so investors are moving focus to the many geopolitical situations and economic concerns. Economists forecast growth from Japan to China will slow every year through 2016. Tim Courtney at Exencial Wealth
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: David Tepper at Appaloosa Management said: P/E ratios for US stocks are not high and junk bonds are at the mid-point of fair value. The US economy is good. The end of the bond market rally started last month when the ECB unexpectedly cut interest rates and
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Hertta Alava at FIM Asset Mgmt said Hong Kong is usually very safe so the riots are unexpected, while Russia’s economy is getting weaker. Dmitry Polevoy at ING said the market is getting closer to panic, while the ‘ghost’ of peak external debt payments in September and
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Jonathan Garner at Morgan Stanley said the problems are more than just reaction to a Fed tightening, but include declining relative return on equity compared to developed markets. The Russian Micex is at 5 x estimated earnings, the cheapest in emerging markets. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Stephen Antczak et al at Citigroup said: Each of the 5 times since 1980 that the Fed started raising its benchmark rate, the extra yield on corporate bonds over government debt narrowed in the following 6 months as accelerating growth boosted optimism. Spreads will tighten this time also,
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: JC O’Hara at FBN Securities said the spread between the Russell and S&P 500 is widening again and worrying traders who want to see small caps participate.” Jonathan Krinsky at MKM Partners sees a good chance of US equities declining modestly into early October, citing deteriorating breadth and seasonal weakness.
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