Salient to Investors: Jeffrey Lacker at FRB of Richmond said: The Fed is not close to tapering QE and expects 2 more years of sluggish growth, and 2.25 percent growth in 2014. The Fed will not alter their guidance about tapering based on GDP, focusing instead on jobs. Markets are better aligned now
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Daniel Silver at JPMorgan Chase said it is not big pullback in consumer spending, just weaker than previously estimated, and the housing recovery will continue and overall growth will strengthen in half2. Joshua Shapiro at Maria Fiorini Ramirez said all in all, things are improving, but a lot of negatives
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Corporate creditworthiness in the US is deteriorating at the fastest pace since 2009 with earnings growth slowing as yields rise from record lows. Moody’s said the ratio of upgrades to downgrades fell to 0.89 times in the first 5 months of the year after reaching a post-crisis
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Justin Wolfers at University of Michigan writes: Jan Hatzius at Goldman Sachs estimates that it takes $1 trillion in bond purchases to move long-term interest rates by 0.4 percent. So the market’s recent overreaction to Benanke’s tapering comments is equivalent to cutting back on QE by $1 trillion versus $255
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: John Kilduff at Again Capital said the terrible GDP number gives the Fed room to continue QE and there won’t be a tapering anytime soon. balance these Read the full article at http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-06-26/wti-crude-rises-on-speculation-fed-to-keep-stimulus.html Click here to receive free and immediate email alerts of the latest forecasts.
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Bill Gross at Pimco said: Bond yields and risk spreads were too low 2 months ago and global markets that were too leveraged are now reducing risk The Fed tilted over-risked investors to one side of an overloaded and over-levered boat when discussing tapering, so don’t panic.
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: 10-year Treasuries yield 2.61 percent versus the S&P 500 aggregate earnings yield of 6.4 percent – more than double the average spread of 1.9 points since 2000. Investors are avoiding longer-term Treasuries, concerned that returns will be depressed for years, and money managers foresee the end of a rally that
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Ethan Anderson at Rehmann Financial said investors have been shaken by the concept of rising interest rates, a reduction in Fed stimulus, and uncertainty about the Chinese central banking system. Goldman Sachs cut its 2013 forecast for China’s economy and said the cash squeeze is hurting growth. Vasu Menon
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Nouriel Roubini writes: Gold spikes in times of serious economic, financial and geopolitical risks, but that does not make it such a safe investment – cf sharp falls in gold prices during crisis periods of 2008 and 2009. Gold performs best in times of high inflationary risks
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Nouriel Roubini writes: Exiting too fast from QE will crash the real economy, while exiting too slowly will first create a huge bubble and then crash the financial system. If the exit cannot be navigated successfully, a dovish Fed is more likely to blow bubbles. Read the
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