Salient to Investors: Mark Wiseman et al at Goldman Sachs said: LNG projects in Africa, Canada and Australia face delays or cancellations as global demand slows, US output increases, nuclear reactors restart in Japan, China’s success in shale-gas E&P, and economic conditions in ASEAN. Global demand will compound at 5%
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: David Tepper at Appaloosa Management said: P/E ratios for US stocks are not high and junk bonds are at the mid-point of fair value. The US economy is good. The end of the bond market rally started last month when the ECB unexpectedly cut interest rates and
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Gareth Leather and John Higgins at Capital Economics said: If the protests in Hong Kong continue, its tourism and retail industries, some 10% percent of its GDP, would be hit hard, and Hong Kong could easily be pushed into recession. If Hong Kong’s status as an international
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Marco Lambertini at The World Wildlife Foundation said: More than half of the world’s vertebrates have disappeared between 1970 and 2010, primarily due to exploitation (37%), habitat degradation (31%), habitat loss (13%), and global warming (7.1%). Meanwhile the human population has nearly doubled. Latin America’s biodiversity dropped 83%,
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: HelpAge International said: Norway is the best of 96 countries to grow old in, followed by Sweden, Switzerland, Canada and Germany. Afghanistan is the worst. Australia, Western Europe and North America rank highly. By 2050, 21% of the global population will be over 60, when 40 of the 96
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: The last time consumer-price increases were slowing before the Fed started raising rates was in 1994, when Treasuries lost 3.3% and Greenspan doubled the benchmark rate to 6% despite inflation being at a 7-yr low of 2.5%. Gary Pollack at Deutsche Bank said the critical example for
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Joseph Lupton et al at JPMorgan said: The US economy will grow 3% in Q3 and into 2015, while China growth will be below its 7.5% average of the past 8 quarters. The US is mostly the dog that wags the tail: each 1% change in US
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Hertta Alava at FIM Asset Mgmt said Hong Kong is usually very safe so the riots are unexpected, while Russia’s economy is getting weaker. Dmitry Polevoy at ING said the market is getting closer to panic, while the ‘ghost’ of peak external debt payments in September and
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Michael McFaul at Stanford University sees long-term damage to Russia from Putin’s new direction. Anders Aslund at the Peterson Institute for Intl Economics sees a similar shortfall in Russia’s 2014 growth to 2013’s growth of 1.3%, and versus IMF’s 2013 forecast of 3.9%. Alexei Kudrin expects Russia to post zero
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Michael Gapen at Barclays Capital said the late 1990s was a very good period for the US economy, with Greenspan making the correct call on monetary policy; but the general consensus is that Fed policy in the run-up to the housing bust prior to the 2007-2009 recession
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