Salient to Investors: The IMF said: Global growth will struggle to accelerate in 2013 as the US expansion weakens, China’s economy levels off, and Europe’s recession deepens. Global growth will be 3.1 percent in 2013, unchanged from 2012, and 3.8 percent in 2014. Developing economies will grow 5 percent in 2013,
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: The IMF said: Global growth for 2013 will be unchanged at 3.1 percent as US growth slows to 1.7 percent in 2013 and 2.7 percent in 2014. Global growth will be 3.8 percent in 2014. Downside risks to global growth prospects still dominate, with the possibility of a longer
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: The Italian higher-education system lets undergraduates linger on campus for years and retake final exams 6 times, and schools are disconnected from the economy and only recently opened campus career offices. No Italian schools, public or private, are in the top 200 in the Times Higher Education’s
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Bloomberg Editors write: 59 percent of Greeks, 56 percent of Spaniards, and 38 percent of Italians and Portuguese ages 16-24 were unemployed in March 2013. It is already clear that Europe’s “New Deal for Europe,” is no “New Deal”. The scale is still too small as millions
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Fareed Zakaria said: The data is increasingly convincing that the Keynesians have been right, cutting spending in the kind of recession we have gone through will only hurt growth not help it. But spending on its own is not enough. For sustained growth in the long-term, countries
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: The IMF says: The global economy will expand 3.3 percent in 2013 versus its 3.5 percent forecast in January, and 4 percent in 2014. The euro area will contract 0.3 percent in 2013 versus its forecast of a 0.2 percent retreat in January. Expect a 3-speed recovery led by emerging
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Nicholas Spiro at Spiro Sovereign Strategy writes: Market sentiment toward the euro area has swung from panic to growing confidence in just six months. Spain and Italy, the twin bellwethers of sentiment on Europe, show how markets are again underpricing sovereign risk as even a cursory glance at
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: The IMF said: The world economy will grow 3.5 percent in 2013 and 4.1 percent in 2014, versus 3.2 percent in 2012. The euro region will shrink 0.2 percent in 2013, led by Spain and slowing growth in Germany, and grow 1 percent in 2014. The euro region poses a
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Mark Dowding at BlueBay Asset Mgmt said investors should sell government bonds from the euro-region’s periphery, including Spain and Italy, because of a complacency on the part of policy makers, complacency in Spain, and no progress in sight. Dowding sees rising political risk in Italy. Read thef ull article at
READ MORE... →Salient Ponts: Professor Nouriel Roubini at NYU said at some point Germany has to decide if it takes the credit risk to backstop Spanish and Italian debt in exchange for some loss of natural fiscal sovereignty by Italy and Spain, giving the Eurozone a chance to survive, or otherwise Europe dissolves in the next few
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