Salient to Investors: The market is bearish. Investor sentiment is unlikely to improve short-term as international concerns overshadow domestic ones. Brad McMillan at Commonwealth Financial said it will be another month or so before investor confidence bounces back, and if the S&P 500 falls to as low as 1,790 the likelihood for
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Miles Hoffman writes: Expect at least a 20% move down, and a seasonally bearish Fall. Bear markets have two phases, and can move down and up sharply. The first is where the leading sector of the prior bull market goes into a bear market, while other sectors
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Mark Hulbert writes: Investor popularity of greed over fear indicates we are close to a stock market top. At the recent San Francisco Money Show, hundreds of seminars catered to greed, while only a handful catered to managing risk and loss. At market tops greed completely replaces fear as investors’
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Analysing what parts of the market have lots of ground to make up to reclaim highs is a good way to gauge how much more the market can rise or fall. The NYSE Arca Airline Index is 59 percent below its peak. The S&P 500 Information Technology
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Laszlo Birinyi at Birinyi Associates said: Investors and analysts are obsessed with the idea of a correction despite their vain efforts to foretell one. Corrections are event-driven and not organic. Of the 6 bull markets since 1982 – with 14 bull-market corrections – this one has had the most
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Ed Yardeni at Yardeni Research said a common worry was that the drop in bond yields may be predicting economic slowdown. Investors Intelligence’s percentage of bulls is at the highest level since January 2005. The conventional wisdom, at least among fixed-income traders and the smartest stock traders,
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: The S&P 500 is down 4.1 percent in 2014, its worst start to a year since 2009. Of the S&P 500 companies: Almost 160 were below their 200-day moving average last week, more than any time in 2013 86 stocks set 1-yr highs when the index hit
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Tom Bowley at Invested Central/EarningsBeats.com writes: Market technicals have slowly deteriorated with the highly influential banking industry reversing hard last week with a long-term negative divergence present on its weekly chart. Longer-term momentum on the buy side is slowing. The latest rally in the S&P 500 actually
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Roelof-Jan van den Akker at ING said the S&P 500 Index may fall as much as 8.7 percent to support around 1,540 after climbing to the upper limit of its rising channel, followed by other markets.Van den Akker said the S&P 500 will then rebound. Read the full article at
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: James A. Kostohryz writes: Stock valuations are currently within or even slightly above a broad range that could be considered “normal” and not at bubble levels, but unprecedented levels of excess liquidity, declining liquidity preference, and a number of fundamental, technical and psychological indicators strongly indicate a bubble is forming. Probabilities favor
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