Salient to Investors: Jordan Wathen at TMFValueMagnet writes: Eyquem found that from 1951 to 2013, the lowest PE decile of stocks compounded annual returns of 16.7% versus 9.3% for the highest decile. Never pile in or out of an investment for the simple fear of falling behind. No one gets fired
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Jeremy Grantham at GMO advises: You don’t know how the important people in your life will behave under pressure. Local cultural differences can be very lasting. Even great ideas can fail. Investing is serious and should not be driven by excitement, as it is for many individual
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Jeremy Grantham said: The stock market is expensive and headed for a bubble at S&P 500 above 2250, and offers paltry returns for years to come. Expect an explosion of M&As to record numbers due to cheaper debt in this cycle, profit margins that will remain high, a still young
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Tom DeMark at DeMark Analytics said the DJIA will start declining if we get one daily close above 16,581, accompanied by an intraday high exceeding 16,661. DeMark said markets top on good news, not bad news, when you have exhausted the last vestige of buying. Sam Stovall
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Jeremy Grantham at GMO said: The slow recovery is due to the Fed’s actions. In the 1980s the US had an aggregate debt level of 1.3 times GDP versus 3.3 times debt now and yet GDP has been slowed – showing that more debt or QE does
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Jeremy Grantham at GMO said: The US market, especially riskier shares, could rise another 20 percent to 30 percent in the next year or two, along with the rest of the world, including emerging-markets, followed by a serious market bust. The S&P 500 is 40 percent overvalued.
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Jeremy Grantham at BMO writes: The Greenspan-Bernanke policy of excessive stimulus, now administered by Yellen, will continue, and that the path of least resistance, for the market is up. It would take a severe economic shock to outweigh the effect of the Fed’s relentless pumping of the
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Jeremy Grantham said: The biggest issue we face is deterioration of the environment, particularly climate damage. In the US, the biggest problem is coal and tar sands. If we burn half or more of the coal and tar sands in two areas in North America, there is
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Jeremy Grantham’s GMO claims that of the 36 major bubbles it says it tracks, 33 have completely popped, or returned to their prior trends. GMO’s more recent predictions, the Australian and UK housing market bubbles, have yet to pop. James Montier at GMO says investors are being
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Never put too much of your portfolio in a few investments, or in one country or industry. The employee with a significant chunk of his 401(k) in his employer’s stock, or gets his contribution matched in company stock, risks both job and retirement plans if a setback for
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