Salient to Investors: Philip Moffitt at Goldman Sachs Asset Mgmt said: The 10-year T-yield may rise to as high as 4% over 12 months as the end of QE and beginning of quantitative tightening adds more interest-rate risk to the market as reinvesting coupons alone will not be enough to offset
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Gold prices and gold ETP holdings have the most-negative correlation since 2004, making the latter less useful as market predictors.. Mark Luschini at Janney Montgomery Scott said the disconnect is because a lot of money has left. Comex open interest fell to a 5-yr low this month and volatility
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Jan Hatzius at Goldman Sachs said: There is little evidence of the “pent-up wage deflation” that Yellen cites as a possible reason behind the slow increase in earnings and says the opposite was true, with the areas having below-average wage growth during the recession now showing above-average
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: David Kostin, Kathy Matsui, Peter Oppenheimer et al at Goldman Sachs lowered their rating on stocks to neutral and corporate credit to underweight on belief that global equities and bonds may drop in the next 3 months, and stocks may temporarily fall, as rising inflation boosts government bonds and
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: The Russell 2000 VIX is up almost 11 percent in 2014 versus a 6.6 percent drop in the VIX and at its highest level since 2006 relative to the VIX. Russell Rhoads at CBOE’s Options Institute said the premium indicates we would get a bigger pullback in small-caps than large-caps in a market
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Jeffrey Currie at Goldman Sachs predicts gold to fall to $1,050 by year-end as the economy improves and there is more confidence in the recovery, without significant inflationary concerns. Goldman predicts higher interest rates in Q3, 2015. Last week, net-long positions in gold rose to their highest
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Hedge funds et al are the most bullish on gold since November 2012. Jeffrey Currie at Goldman Sachs expects $1,050 by year-end as the economy improves. Abhishek Chinchalkar at AnandRathi Commodities said prices are a little overstretched technically as funds are overbought, while gold is vulnerable to
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Money managers increased net-long positions in gold for a fourth straight week through July 1 and assets in gold-backed global ETPs are rising at the fastest pace since November 2012. John Kinsey at Caldwell Securities expects further gold strength through 2014. Societe Generale predicts gold prices will
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Tom Stringfellow at Frost Investment Advisors expects interest rates to rise sooner than people expect, causing a knee-jerk reaction, but not at a rate that derails this stable environment. Jan Hatzius at Goldman Sachs expects the Fed to raise rates in Q3 2015. The S&P 500 is
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: The China Gold Association said the global flow of gold from west to east that helped to make China the world’s largest user at 28 percent of global usage in 2013 will last for up to two decades as rising incomes spur demand. Asia accounted for 63
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