Salient to Investors: Viktor Shvets and Chetan Seth at Macquarie said: Emerging markets and economies are in a worse situation than in the 1997 Asian financial crisis because they now face far longer, more painful and insidious disease with limited or no cures or exits, punctuated by occasional significant flare-ups. The effect
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Fareed Zakaria said: China’s economy is nearly 2.5 times that of Japan so even if growth slows substantially, China will continue to have seismic effects on the global economy. Henry Kissinger said Republican candidate China-bashing is dangerous and could create an atmosphere a la Europe before WW
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Fareed Zakaria said: The last time oil fell more than 50% in less than a year, in the 1980s, the Soviet Union collapsed. Saudi Arabia wants to put American shale and tight oil producers out of business, but they have survived using technology and smart business practices.
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Fareed Zakaria said: The Iran nuclear agreement is flawed, but has the toughest terms ever negotiated and sets back Iran’s nuclear program more than any serious military campaign would. Automatic re-imposition of sanctions can be triggered unilaterally by the US. Iran gets sanctions relief regardless because allies will not extend sanctions
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Iran would be a superpower in global energy markets if reserves in the ground were the measuring stick – only Russia has more oil and gas reserves. The CIA reports proven natural gas reserves in 2014 (in cubic metres) in Russia were 47,800,000,000,000, in Iran 33,800,000,000,000, in Qatar 25,070,000,000,000, in the US 8,734,000,000,000, in Saudi Arabia 8,235,000,000,000. Jamie Ingram
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Fareed Zakaria said: Continued sanctions are highly unlikely to halt Iran’s nuclear program, which has expanded under for two decades under sanctions – from below 200 centrifuges in 2003 to 19,000 today. The US would effectively have to go to war with Iran to destroy its nuclear
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Fareed Zakaria said: Netanyahu’s alternative to the Iran nuclear deal is divorced from reality – his predictions about Iran’s nuclear threat have been wrong for 25 years. Without a nuclear deal, Iran in 10 years will have 50,000 centrifuges, massive stocks of highly enriched uranium, new facilities, thousands of
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Fareed Zakaria said: There are 1.6 billion Muslims in the world of which perhaps 30,000 are members of ISIS. Sheri Berman at Barnard College says ideologies succeed when they replace failed ideas. ISIS has benefited from the failure of Pan Arab-ism, Republicanism, nascent efforts at democracy, economic liberalism and
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Fareed Zakaria said: The IEA said Russia faces a perfect storm of collapsing oil prices, international sanctions and currency depreciation. The IMF predicts the Russian economy will contract by 3% in 2015. Putin does not respond to higher costs in a rational calculating manner. Military aid to
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Leonid Bershidsky writes: The cease-fire deal is as close to a deal on Putin’s terms as decency allows and too contradictory to work long-term. However, even if the truce fails, it is clear there is a strong will to look for a lasting solution. Ukraine is unlikely to
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