Salient to Investors: Raghuram Rajan at Reserve Bank of India said: Central banks’ use of cheap money to tackle economic problems, rather than painful reform, has to stop and continuation risks doing more harm than good. Central banks cannot carry the whole burden and may not have the tools to deal with demographic change
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Global growth is changing but we are not on the verge of a global recession. UK and US growth is solid, and the Eurozone is staging a weak recovery. China’s stock market drop says little about the health of the Chinese economy and matters little to investors outside China,
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: More and more analysts are pointing to problems in China and other markets as posing a real threat to the American economy. Raoul Pal at the Global Macro Investor said the global GDP pie is shrinking and cites the dollar’s upward move against nearly all emerging-market currencies. In
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: David Stockman writes: The S&P 500 has sliced through both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. 2130 on the S&P 500 will prove to be a generational high. CAT, China, European luxury brands, the NASDAQ Biotech Index are shorts. Expect the Fed to announce they are well short of
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Fareed Zakaria said: The last time oil fell more than 50% in less than a year, in the 1980s, the Soviet Union collapsed. Saudi Arabia wants to put American shale and tight oil producers out of business, but they have survived using technology and smart business practices.
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: David Stockman writes: The real danger comes from the official institutions who have lapsed into empty ritualism and contrivance while the global economy and financial system becomes more unstable by the day. No sane person would inject $95 billion of new debt into busted Greece, or consider another round of fiscal stimulus
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Stocks are most useful for long-term goals so it does not make sense to change your investment strategy based on a blip (sic) of market activity. There is absolutely nothing abnormal going on in the market. Research shows that long-term portfolio performance suffers badly by missing just a few days
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: David Stockman writes: The bull market is dead, yet stock option addicted corporate executives are buying their own drastically over-priced shares hand-over-fist. Corporate stock buybacks and dividends are back to late 2007 levels of all of net income, lured by 80 months of ZIRP and $3.5 trillion of debt monetization by
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: James Hickman writes: Uninterrupted streaks in which the S&P 500 closes within 10% of its all time peak historically precede sudden declines: viz the tech bubble of the 1990s and the credit/housing bubble of the 2000s. The median decline from the peak is 43% and typically takes 13
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Dani Rodrik at Harvard said: Emerging markets may be seen to be in deep trouble but do not deserve the doom-and-gloom treatment they are getting. Stronger economic headwinds ahead will make it easier to distinguish countries that have strengthened economic and political fundamentals from those that have relied
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