Salient to Investors: In a bear market poised to plunge again. Markets drop twice as fast as they rise because fear is a stronger emotion than greed. Bearish technicals: Broken down from the 6-year bearish Rising Wedge pattern. First bearish moving average cross for 4 years Volume on the recent plunge
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: David Stockman writes: US stocks are in a bear market. Honest financial markets would have sold off long ago, but for central bank falsification of asset prices. The S&P 500 is at 20 times trailing earnings as of June 2015: $97.32 per share versus $103.12 at the end of
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: William Pesek writes: Alibaba’s shares slide with each new report of middle-class Chinese raising cash and delaying spending. Alibaba’s $166 billion market cap exceeds the annual output of many countries. The Chinese economy will weaken further: domestic and external demand is sliding along with the stock market. China will experience a negative
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: David Stockman writes: Reliable signs of an economic recovery are few. Housing has not moved at all. Private construction spending is 7% below December 2007 levels, 43% below its early 2006 peak, at January 2002 levels nominally, and 1992 levels when adjusted for inflation. Spending is 2.1% of
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: The official jobless rate is a misleading indicator of employment. The ‘jobs recovery’ has been led by cheap labor, with job gains going disproportionately to the least educated and lowest-paid workers. The stagnation in nominal wage growth is consistent with the weakness in the employment/population (E/P) ratio.
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Many investors move money out of China in ways that circumvent its tough limits. China’s foreign-exchange reserves reached nearly $4 trillion in 2014 but have dropped by more than $341 billion since. CBRE estimates that Chinese investment in overseas commercial properties totaled $6.5 billion in half1 2015
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: The Fed needs to be audited to determine if it has manipulated financial markets, which is not in its jurisdiction. Autonomy for the Fed ended when it started playing footsie with Wall Street. The bubble in stock prices was created by years of risky Fed policy. Even the
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Fareed Zakaria said: The US economy has recovered nicely. A 2014 UCLA study found that many black and Latino students face almost total isolation from white and Asian students and middle-class peers. Much more Saudi oil wealth has gone into pernicious causes over the last 30 years
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: David Stockman writes: Expect a central banker to soon herald that more monetary heroin is coming, triggering a market rally and pronouncements that its “correction” is over. It will take time for the market to lose its unwarranted faith in central bank omnipotence. However, money will now be made by selling
READ MORE... →Salient to Investors: Raghuram Rajan at Reserve Bank of India said: Central banks’ use of cheap money to tackle economic problems, rather than painful reform, has to stop and continuation risks doing more harm than good. Central banks cannot carry the whole burden and may not have the tools to deal with demographic change
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