The US Economy Is Not Awesome And It’s Not Decoupled – David Stockman’s Contra Corner 09-01-15

Salient to Investors: David Stockman writes: Reliable signs of an economic recovery are few. Housing has not moved at all. Private construction spending is 7% below December 2007 levels, 43% below its early 2006 peak, at January 2002 levels nominally, and 1992 levels when adjusted for inflation. Spending is 2.1% of

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Fareed Zakaria GPS – CNN 08-30-15

Salient to Investors: Fareed Zakaria said: The US economy has recovered nicely. A 2014 UCLA study found that many black and Latino students face almost total isolation from white and Asian students and middle-class peers. Much more Saudi oil wealth has gone into pernicious causes over the last 30 years

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Contra Corner Gets Some Company – The NYT Highlights Four Who Saw it Coming – David Stockman’s Contra Corner 08-26-15

Salient to Investors: David Stockman writes: Expect a central banker to soon herald that more monetary heroin is coming, triggering a market rally and pronouncements that its “correction” is over. It will take time for the market to lose its unwarranted faith in central bank omnipotence. However, money will now be made by selling

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‘Don’t overburden central banks,’ says India’s Rajan – BBC News 08-25-15

Salient to Investors: Raghuram Rajan at Reserve Bank of India said: Central banks’ use of cheap money to tackle economic problems, rather than painful reform, has to stop and continuation risks doing more harm than good. Central banks cannot carry the whole burden and may not have the tools to deal with demographic change

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What next for the global economy after China market woes? – BBC News 08-25-15

Salient to Investors: Global growth is changing but we are not on the verge of a global recession. UK and US growth is solid, and the Eurozone is staging a weak recovery. China’s stock market drop says little about the health of the Chinese economy and matters little to investors outside China,

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Signs, Long Unheeded, Now Point to Risks in U.S. Economy – New York Times 08-25-15

Salient to Investors: More and more analysts are pointing to problems in China and other markets as posing a real threat to the American economy. Raoul Pal at the Global Macro Investor said the global GDP pie is shrinking and cites the dollar’s upward move against nearly all emerging-market currencies. In

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Forget The Dips, Sell The Rips – David Stockman’s Contra Corner 08-24-15

Salient to Investors: David Stockman writes: The S&P 500 has sliced through both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. 2130 on the S&P 500 will prove to be a generational high.  CAT, China, European luxury brands, the NASDAQ Biotech Index are shorts. Expect the Fed to announce they are well short of

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Mapping Fallout From ‘Black Monday’: Who Was Hardest Hit? – Foreign Polict 08-24-15

Salient to Investors: Bill Bishop at Sinocism said: China’s stock market has historically been irrelevant both to the domestic Chinese economy and the global economy. China has tarnished its reputation with its bungled response to its stock market plunge. Damien Ma at the Paulson Institute said it is premature to conclude the

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China’s Stock Market Is Melting Down – and It’s Taking Markets Everywhere With It – Slate 08-24-15

Salient to Investors: China is primarily behind the apparent panic in the global economy. Recent Chinese economic data contradicts its official forecast of 7% growth. The Wall Street Journal says China could move to stimulate its economy by the end of August or in early September, as high technology and entrepreneurship

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Fareed Zakaria GPS – CNN 08-23-15

Salient to Investors: Fareed Zakaria said: The last time oil fell more than 50% in less than a year, in the 1980s, the Soviet Union collapsed. Saudi Arabia wants to put American shale and tight oil producers out of business, but they have survived using technology and smart business practices.

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