Binky Chadha at Deutsche Bank  said:

  • Economic reports are due to improve, lifting U.S. stocks.
  • Investors are suffering from data disappointment that has become extreme by historical standards – the typical pattern from here would be for fewer negative surprises and then positive ones.
  • Economic data has been the key driver of equities, and explain why stocks have retreated in the past few weeks. Changes in jobless claims explain 88 percent of the S&P 500’s performance during the period.
  • Any stock-market rally triggered by policy changes in Europe’s sovereign-debt crisis and slowing growth in emerging markets won’t last unless the economic data turn around.

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