The Last Bubble Standing – Amazon’s Same Day Trip Through The Casino – David Stockman’s Contra Corner 07-27-15

David Stockman writes: Amazon’s valuation, its one day gain and last week’s Google gain are reminiscent of the days before the tech wreck 15 years ago. The 12 Big Cap Techs of 2000 saw their peak combined valuation of $3.8 trillion plunge to $875 billion a decade later, even as their sales

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Take Cover – Wall Street Is Breaking Out The Bubblies – David Stockman’s Contra Corner 07-20-15

Salient to Investors: David Stockman writes: Google’s unwarranted market cap gain last Friday – 75% of the 9.6% gain in net income from the prior quarter was due to a lower tax rate and a cutback of ballooning G&A expenses – easily passed in one day the entire $50 billion market cap of Caterpillar, though only

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Are Tech Giants’ New Buildings Signs of the Top? – OfTwoMinds.Com 07-20-15

Salient to Investors: Charles Hugh Smith writes: Building new gleaming headquarters generally marks the top of a bank’s fortunes. So Facebook’s glamorous new headquarters, Apple’s under construction “spaceship” campus, Google’s plans for an ultra-modernist headquarters may indicate excessive confidence in endless growth of revenues, profits and valuations. Projections based on permanently parabolic growth

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The Warren Buffett Economy – Why Its Days Are Numbered (Part 4) – David Stockman’s Contra Corner 06-15-15

Salient to Investors: David Stockman writes: The Fed has generated a $50 trillion financial bubble and made money and capital markets to little more than gambling casinos. Speculative rent-seeking in the financial market has replaced entrepreneurial innovation and supply side investment and productivity, resulting in a severe drop in real growth and a

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The Warren Buffett Economy – Why Its Days Are Numbered (Part 2) – David Stockman’s Contra Corner 06-10-15

Salient to Investors: David Stockman writes: The financial carrying capacity of the developed market economies has deteriorated since the 1980s; due to aging demographics, declining competitiveness v. emerging market economies, declining productivity growth, and the big increase in the leverage ratio against public and private incomes. The US’s ability to

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Complacency Breeds $2 Trillion of Junk as Sewage Funded – Bloomberg 07-08-14

Salient to Investors: Global debt complacency is evidenced by investor enthusiasm for the debt of Ecuador, Clear Channel Communications, China’s Logan Property Holdings, Greece’s Hellenic Petroleum, Florida’s Orange County Industrial Development Authority. Japan’s Government Pension Investment Fund is even considering venturing into junk bonds. Almost any borrower is able to raise

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Is the stock market overvalued by 50 percent? PE ratios out of sync with fundamentals underlying the economy. Not in labor force group in US increased by 15 percent since recession ended. – My Budget 360 01-26-14

Salient to Investors: The stock market is massively overvalued based on multiple measures due to crony financial leverage that has created wealth inequality that is now the worst we have seen during multiple generations. The PE ratio of the S&P 500 is 24.9, or 80 percent higher than the historical

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