Salient to Investors:

  • The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said Ebola could spread to hundreds of thousands more people by the end of January, 2015,  with a worst-case scenario at 550,000 or more infections assuming no additional aid or intervention by governments and relief agencies.
  • UN envoy David Nabarro said the disease is advancing in an exponential fashion, and to get ahead of the outbreak our level of response needs to be 20 times greater.
  • The University of Tokyo and Arizona State University predicted last month that in a worst case scenario there would be as many as 277,124 new cases by the end of the year, while uncontrolled cross-border transmission could fuel a major epidemic to take off in new geographical areas.
  • Columbia University predicted 18,755 cases by October 26 under the status quo, but 49,129 if intervention and containment efforts degraded.
  • The UN said curbing the outbreak will require investments of $988 million over the next 6 months – 30% of which has come in so far.

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