Salient to Investors:

  • The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau reports the share of Americans 65 and older with mortgage debt rose to 30% in 2011 with a median debt adjusted for inflation of $79,000,  from 22% in 2001 with a median debt of $43,400.
  • The increase in mortgage debt makes these households more susceptible to economic swings, increasing the risk of inability to recoup losses.
  • John Gist at George Washington University said reasons include the surge in refinancing in the early 2000s and in the post-recession years, the ability to buy with smaller down payments during the housing boom, and the acquisition of vacation homes. Gist said the highest rates of refinancing occurred among boomers – over half in 2004 and 2007.
  • The median duration of joblessness for adults 65 years and older was 17.8 weeks in July, versus 13.5 weeks for those 25 to 34.
  • Julia Coronado at Graham Capital Mgmt said a mortgage is a source of risk for older households, particularly given the labor market experience.
  • Barbara Butrica and Nadia Karamcheva at Urban Institute said 65% of homeowners with mortgages are still working at age 64, versus 54% of those without housing debt.
  • Greg Frost at Frost Mortgage Banking said boomers will be the first generation to take advantage of reverse mortgages on a large-scale.
  • Donald Frommeyer at the National Association of Mortgage Brokers said boomers do not have the same desire to pay off mortgages as the WWII generation.
  • Sam Khater at CoreLogic said as millennials delay buying homes, they may prolong the trend.
  • Homeownership for Americans 35 years old and younger fell to 35.9% in Q2, 2014, the lowest quarterly level since 1994, and versus the high of 43.6% in 2004.


Read the full article at

Click here  to receive free and immediate email alerts of the latest forecasts.