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Archive for the Economics Category

Fareed Zakaria GPS – CNN 11-01-15

Salient to Investors: Fareed Zakaria said: Most transitions to democracy bring bitter struggles, viz South Korea, Taiwan, Chile. Tunisia is almost entirely Sunni so has no sectarian and tribal differences and has had wise political leadership. The end of China’s one-child policy was an admission that its greatest obstacle to long-term economic

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Powdering The GDP Pig – There Was No Escape Velocity Inside – David Stockman’s Contra Corner 10-30-15

Salient to Investors: David Stockman writes: The global economy is in deflation and the US economy is stalling and within months will be in recession and the market in panic. The Fed cannot prevent the US economy from sliding into the global slump. Since 2000, the Fed has twice before pushed on a

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Fareed Zakaria GPS – CNN 10-25-15

Salient to Investors: Fareed Zakaria said: When politicians have been in power for a decade, voters usually want a change no matter how popular the leader is. The hallmark of populism is anger. Left-wing populism is mostly about economics. Right-wing populism is mostly about culture. Both hate the big city elites who

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Wall Street’s Latest Bounce – Ostrich Economics At Work – David Stockman’s Contra Corner 10-20-15

Salient to Investors: David Stockman writes: The price of financial assets is now artificial and wildly inaccurate. $300 trillion of global finance cannot remain stable much longer. Bulls believe the Fed is on hold until at least next March, while Wall Street is projecting S&P 500 earnings of $130 per share on an ex-items basis for

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Fareed Zakaria GPS – CNN 10-11-15

Salient to Investors: Fareed Zakaria said: We cannot solve Afghanistan without recognizing Pakistani army support for the Taliban. No counter-insurgency has ever succeeded where the rebels have a safe haven, so until this is dealt with, the Taliban will never be defeated. Pakistan pretends to help the US while supporting its most

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Fareed Zakaria GPS – CNN 10-04-15

Salient to Investors: Fareed Zakaria said: Russia’s move in Syria is a desperate effort to shore up one of its only foreign allies and risks making it the great Satan with jihadists everywhere. However, Putin has at least a clearer strategy in Syria than Obama. An US army of less than

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We’ve Seen This Picture Before – Global Markets Down $13 Trillion Already – David Stockman’s Contra Corner 09-29-15

Salient to Investors: David Stockman writes: The global economy is drastically overbuilt on $225 trillion of debt. The 2008 collapse was quickly arrested by unprecedented central bank money printing, which is unavailable this time around because interest rates cannot go any lower and QE does not stimulate economies at peak debt, and only inflates financial

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The zero rate trap – The Economist 09-18-15

Salient to Investors: No Fed tightening was a sensible decision. The Fed is in a trap: low interest rates have raised global equity markets, whose collapse in August helped in preventing the Fed from raising rates. Most British homeowners have variable rate mortgages so while interest rate cuts staved off a potential

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Three economic crises, cutting rates and banning cash – The Economist 09-18-15

Salient to Investors: Andy Haldane at the Bank of England said: Inflationary reputation is hard-earned and easily lost central bank promises to re-anchoring the rate at some future point is damaging to macro-economic stability. Further QE, especially making it permanent, risks blurring the boundary between monetary and fiscal policy and hurts central

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