Salient to Investors:
Jankiel Santos at Banco Espirito Santo de Investimento said emerging markets will now have to compete for capital with the US, and countries that carried out the necessary adjustments will suffer less, while Brazil will suffer more.
Ilan Goldfajn and Caio Megale at Itau expect the Brazil central bank to raise rates by 50 basis points in their next two meetings before finishing the year with a quarter-point increase.
The IMF cut its global growth forecast for 2013 to 3.1 percent, emerging economies to 5 percent, and Brazil to 2.5 percent.
Newton Rosa at SulAmerica Investimentos said slowing credit growth and a weakening labor market are crimping Brazilian shoppers.
Analysts cut their economic growth forecasts for Brazil for 2013 and 2014 to below 3 percent for the first time.
Darwin Dib at CM Capital Markets Asset Mgmt said economic activity is weak, a sign that inflation continues to be high.
EPFR Global says investors withdrew $13.9 billion from BRIC equity mutual funds in 2013.
John Welch at Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce says Brazil’s central bank will contribute by tightening monetary conditions in future meetings, and expects two more half-point increases followed by a quarter-point raise. Welsh said they have to tighten more and they have to do it quickly if they want to control inflation.
Click here to receive free and immediate email alerts of the latest forecasts.